| recession discussion first Joe so it |
4.739 |
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PERSON
Joe
|
| well we're not in one now and our model |
4.261 |
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|
| says the first chance that we would fall |
4.379 |
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ORDINAL
first
|
| into one would be early next year so a |
4.199 |
Jump to 32.88 |
DATE
early next year
|
| Rick said you know the five trillion |
4.98 |
Jump to 37.079 |
PERSON
Rick
|
| dollars put on the table was the first |
3.901 |
Jump to 40.079 |
ORDINAL
first
|
| goods that half a trillion that we have |
3.961 |
Jump to 66.119 |
|
| Trent at around 1.8 percent an economy |
4.56 |
Jump to 75.36 |
PERCENT
around 1.8 percent
|
| two trillion to half a trillion in a |
3.6 |
Jump to 108.24 |
CARDINAL
two trillion to half a trillion
|
| the year and say CPI is around three |
4.739 |
Jump to 115.02 |
DATE
the year
CARDINAL
three
|
| four percent well you know what's going |
4.441 |
Jump to 119.759 |
PERCENT
four percent
|
| one percent increase in real wages at |
3.66 |
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PERCENT
one percent
|
| moving between three and four percent |
4.261 |
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|
| condition of the United States the one |
4.5 |
Jump to 183.54 |
GPE
the United States
CARDINAL
one
|
| 13-week moving average of initial plans |
5.279 |
Jump to 188.04 |
DATE
13-week
|
| we know that within eight weeks people |
3.121 |
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DATE
eight weeks
|
| or two and a half million workers short |
4.92 |
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DATE
two and a half million
|
| lot of people 55 and older out of the |
5.4 |
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|
| when I see half a trillion on the table |
3.48 |
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|
| inflation is sitting at 4.9 percent if |
5.459 |
Jump to 290.46 |
PERCENT
4.9 percent
|
| down to three by the end of the year |
2.701 |
Jump to 295.919 |
CARDINAL
three
DATE
the end of the year
|
| discussion from the one we're having now |
4.56 |
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|
| but I one would think in 2024 and 2025 |
4.919 |
Jump to 315.78 |
DATE
2024
DATE
2025
|
| that's going to be one of the primary |
3.84 |
Jump to 318.78 |
|
| meeting and give it two or three months |
4.14 |
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DATE
two or three months
|
| would expect one or two more that's the |
4.38 |
Jump to 406.319 |
CARDINAL
one
CARDINAL
two
|
| getting down to you know three or even |
4.38 |
Jump to 412.56 |
CARDINAL
three
|
| below three on CPI and we're sitting at |
5.52 |
Jump to 414.36 |
CARDINAL
three
|
| three and a half to four on a core pce |
5.4 |
Jump to 416.94 |
DATE
three and a half to four
|
| probably talking about one to one and a |
2.28 |
Jump to 453.3 |
|
| that's one of the reasons why I'm in |
3.9 |
Jump to 463.68 |
CARDINAL
one
|
| that camp that when we get to three |
2.94 |
Jump to 465.599 |
CARDINAL
three
|
| and I think three percent makes a lot of |
3.961 |
Jump to 476.699 |
PERCENT
three percent
|
| sense because in order to get to two |
3.24 |
Jump to 479.22 |
CARDINAL
two
|
| female labor force participation rate 25 |
4.839 |
Jump to 489.8 |
CARDINAL
25
|
| to 54 here they're not a Phantom high at |
4.56 |
Jump to 492.66 |
CARDINAL
54
ORG
Phantom
|
| 77.5 percent and that's well below the |
5.28 |
Jump to 494.639 |
PERCENT
77.5 percent
|
| near 90 of their male cohorts but I |
4.379 |
Jump to 497.22 |
CARDINAL
90
|
| one more really quick point to go back |
3.72 |
Jump to 519.3 |
CARDINAL
one
|
| stopping and then does another one on a |
3.301 |
Jump to 530.339 |
|
| news on June 14th when the FED releases |
4.859 |
Jump to 566.04 |
DATE
June 14th
ORG
FED
|